All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Sun, Jun 21
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
White Sox ML
Odds
-105
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
White Sox ML
-105 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
A LEAN on the White Sox ML at -105 is justified by Martin's pitching edge and Chicago's strong underdog ATS tendencies, but Detroit's home strength and recent head-to-head dominance prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Davis Martin holds a clear pitching edge: 9-3 record and 3.31 ERA vs. Montero's 3-5 record and 3.67 ERA — a 0.36 ERA gap favoring Chicago's starter
Chicago's ATS overall win rate is 42-33 (.560) vs. Detroit's 37-39 (.487), a +7% edge for the White Sox
Chicago's ATS as underdog is 40-24 (.625) — they cover at a high rate when getting plus money, and they are the underdog here at -105
Chicago's team offense is superior: .732 OPS and 349 runs scored vs. Detroit's .706 OPS and 309 runs, with more HR production (105 vs. 85)