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MLB · Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians
@
Chicago White Sox
Date
Mon, Jun 22
Time
11:40 PM
Venue
Rate Field
Spread
Guardians ML
Odds
-112
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-112 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Williams' ERA edge and Cleveland's elite road underdog ATS record provide a lean toward the Guardians ML, but Ramirez's absence, Chicago's strong home record, and the offensive gap keep this firmly in LEAN territory.
Key Factors
Starter ERA delta: Williams 3.83 vs Kay 4.61 — a 0.78 gap favoring Cleveland's arm on the mound
Cleveland team ERA 3.79 vs Chicago team ERA 4.41 — Guardians pitching staff is meaningfully better top to bottom
Cleveland ATS last 10: 7-3 (.700) vs Chicago's 5-5 — Guardians running hot against the spread
Cleveland road ATS as underdog: 30-12 (.714) — elite underdog cover rate in road spots