All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Houston Astros
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Date
Tue, Jun 23
Time
8:07 PM
Venue
Rogers Centre
Spread
Blue Jays ML
Odds
-131
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Blue Jays ML
-131 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Toronto's superior team pitching metrics and home advantage provide a lean, but Bieber's unknown IL-return status introduces enough uncertainty to keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Toronto team ERA is 4.10 vs Houston's 4.84 — a 0.74 gap favoring the Blue Jays' pitching staff overall
Toronto opponent OPS allowed is .699 vs Houston's .749 — Blue Jays pitching suppresses opposing offenses more effectively
Toronto is on a W2 streak at home (22-18 home record, .500 ATS at home) while Houston is 17-22 on the road and just lost Game 1 of this series 4-2
Houston carries multiple injury concerns including Jeremy Pena (SS, day-to-day with hamstring) and Bryan Abreu (RP, restricted list), thinning their roster and bullpen depth