All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
@
New York Mets
Date
Wed, Jun 24
Time
5:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-125
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-125 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
The Cubs are the clearly better team with a dominant head-to-head edge and superior offense, but the unknown Cubs starter against a known McLean creates enough uncertainty to keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Cubs hold a significant win percentage edge (.526 vs .436) and are 7 games better in the standings at 41-37 vs 34-44
Cubs team OPS (.741) substantially outpaces the Mets (.670), and Cubs have scored 375 runs vs Mets' 317 — a 58-run differential over the same period
Cubs are 4-0 in head-to-head matchups this season, including a 9-6 win yesterday, and have outscored the Mets 22-9 in the last two games alone
Mets are on a 3-game losing streak and are only 15-22 (.405) ATS at home this season, with key injuries to Lindor (IL), Robert Jr. (60-day IL), and Soto (day-to-day) weakening their lineup