All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Wed, Jun 24
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-148
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-148 · 1 Unit
63%
The Edge
Skubal's ERA advantage and Detroit's exceptional home underdog ATS record provide a directional lean toward the Tigers ML, but the Yankees' superior run differential and team-wide pitching quality prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Skubal (3.02 ERA) holds a 1.11 ERA edge over Weathers (4.13) — the starter matchup clearly favors Detroit at home
Detroit's home record as underdog ATS is 26-12 (.684), one of the strongest splits in the data set
Tigers are 5-5 ATS last 10 and have won 4 of their last 5 games overall, including two wins in this series
DET -148 moneyline is in the moderate favorite range, and Comerica Park's neutral-to-pitcher-friendly profile (0.98 run factor, 0.9 HR factor) suits Skubal's profile