All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
@
New York Mets
Date
Wed, Jun 24
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-110 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
The Cubs carry enough team-level and series-level edges to warrant a lean, but the unknown Cubs starter is a critical gap that prevents this from reaching PICK threshold — take the Cubs ML as a lean only.
Key Factors
Cubs have a 7-win percentage edge (.526 vs .436) and outscored opponents by +0.3 run differential vs Mets at -0.4 on the season
Cubs team OPS of .741 is significantly better than Mets .670, and Cubs have scored 375 runs vs Mets 317 — a 58-run gap through comparable games
Cubs are 4-0 against the Mets this season, winning by scores of 9-6, 12-4, 4-2, and 2-1 — clear series dominance with no close losses
Mets are on a 3-game losing streak and 0-3 ATS in their last 3, while Cubs enter on a W1 streak after a 9-6 win in this same series yesterday