All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Wed, Jun 24
Time
11:45 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
-118
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-118 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Cardinals ML is a lean based on home-field strength, superior offense, and Arizona's mystery starter, but Liberatore's 5.23 ERA and Arizona's road competence keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Cardinals home ATS record is elite at 24-16 (.600), and as home underdogs/favorites they cover at .632 — the strongest split in this dataset
Cardinals team OPS (.726) outpaces Arizona's (.726 vs .692) and they've scored more runs (355 vs 337) with significantly more home runs (87 vs 69) in comparable games played
Arizona's starter Mitch Bratt has zero available stats (N/A ERA, WHIP, K/9) — unknown quantity facing a Cardinals lineup that has been the more productive offense all season
Cardinals overall record (.545, 42-35) is meaningfully better than Arizona's (.506, 40-39), and STL is the moneyline favorite at -118 — a moderate price in the sweet spot