All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
@
New York Mets
Date
Thu, Jun 25
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-108
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-108 · 1 Unit
65%
The Edge
The Cubs' series dominance, superior offense, and Mets' brutal home ATS record create a directional lean toward Chicago, but Boyd returning from IL at 6.00 ERA caps this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Cubs are 6-0 against the Mets this season, outscoring them by a combined margin that includes three straight blowouts of 10-5, 10-3, and 9-6 in this very series
Cubs win percentage .537 vs Mets .425 — a 112-point gap that reflects a meaningfully better overall team
Mets are 15-24 (.385) ATS at home this season, one of the clearest home fade signals in the data
Cubs team OPS .744 vs Mets .674 — a 70-point gap — and Cubs have scored 395 runs vs Mets 325, a significant offensive edge