All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Boston Red Sox
Date
Fri, Jun 26
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Fenway Park
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-115
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-115 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
The Yankees are the better team on paper, but the absence of Judge and Stanton caps the offensive edge enough to keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK at -115.
Key Factors
Yankees run differential edge: +1.3 vs Boston's +0.0, reflecting a meaningful team quality gap over 80 games
Yankees team OPS .765 vs Red Sox .697 — a 68-point gap — and 403 runs scored vs Boston's 313
Boston is 13-25 (.342) ATS at home this season, one of the worst home ATS marks in the league
Yankees team ERA 3.30 vs Red Sox 3.81, with opponent OPS allowed of .652 vs .704 — NYY pitching staff is clearly superior