All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Texas Rangers
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Date
Sat, Jun 27
Time
7:07 PM
Venue
Rogers Centre
Spread
Blue Jays ML
Odds
-194
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Blue Jays ML
-194 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Cease gives Toronto a real starting pitching edge, but the -194 price is too steep for a team on a four-game skid against an opponent that has beaten them twice this week — lean Blue Jays but not a bet.
Key Factors
Pitching edge: Cease (2.75 ERA, 4-3) vs Quantrill (3.73 ERA, 3-0) — nearly a full run of ERA separation favoring Toronto's starter
Home record: Toronto is 22-22 at home vs Texas's 21-24 on the road, and TOR ATS as underdog is 18-17 (.514) vs TEX ATS as road favorite at 16-30 (.348)
Toronto ATS last 10 is 6-4 vs Texas's 3-7, suggesting recent line value has favored the Blue Jays
Texas road ATS is a brutal 18-27 (.400) on the season, making them a historically poor ATS bet when laying price away from home