All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Cincinnati Reds
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Sat, Jun 27
Time
8:05 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Reds ML
Odds
-118
Risk
MOD
PICK
Reds ML
-118 · 1 Unit
78%
✅ Winner
Cincinnati Reds 9, Pittsburgh Pirates 7
+84.75u
The Edge
Burns' elite 2.00 ERA against Jones' 5.75 ERA is a near-automatic lean on the Reds, reinforced by Cincinnati's elite road ATS record and dominant head-to-head edge this season.
Key Factors
Starter ERA delta: Burns 2.00 vs. Jones 5.75 — a 3.75-run gap that far exceeds the 1.5+ threshold for a significant edge
Cincinnati is 24-15 (.615) ATS on the road this season — elite road ATS performance
Reds are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and riding a W1 streak, including a 6-4 win at PNC Park on Jun 26
Cincinnati is 5-2 in the season series vs. Pittsburgh, outscoring them in dominant fashion across multiple matchups