All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Sun, Aug 16
Time
7:00 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
+162
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
+162 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
The pitching edge and STL's elite road/underdog ATS profile create a real directional lean toward Cardinals ML at plus money, but CHC's superior overall record and offense prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Pitcher ERA edge: Dobbins 3.40 vs Cabrera 5.10 — a 1.70 gap that exceeds the 1.5 threshold flagged as a significant edge
STL road ATS record: 32-25 (.561) on the road this season — elite road performance
CHC home ATS record: 27-34 (.443) at Wrigley this season — below .500 at home, a clear fade signal
STL as road underdog ATS: 55-35 (.611) — historically strong in this role, and at +162 they are the underdog tonight