All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
@
Cincinnati Reds
Date
Mon, Aug 17
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Great American Ball Park
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
-114
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-114 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Cardinals ML is a lean on the strength of superior team pitching, dominant recent ATS form, and an elite road ATS record against a fading home team — but the unknown Reds starter prevents this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Cardinals 7-3 ATS last 10 vs Reds 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 4-game ATS gap in recent form
Cardinals road ATS record 33-25 (.569) vs Reds home ATS record 29-34 (.460) — road team is the stronger ATS unit
Cardinals team ERA 4.04 vs Reds team ERA 4.51 — a 0.47 ERA advantage on the season; Cardinals WHIP 1.34 vs Reds 1.40
Cardinals on a W2 streak with back-to-back blowout wins (11-4, 8-4); Reds on L2 streak including a 1-7 loss — momentum clearly favors STL