All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
@
Cincinnati Reds
Date
Thu, Aug 20
Time
4:40 PM
Venue
Great American Ball Park
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
-106
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-106 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
STL's pitching edge and road ATS dominance point directionally toward the Cardinals, but near-even moneyline pricing and a hitter-friendly park that can erase ERA advantages keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Starting pitcher ERA edge: McGreevy 3.48 vs Singer 4.66 — a 1.18 gap favoring STL
Cardinals road ATS record is 35-27 (.565), among the best splits in the data
Cardinals 7-3 ATS last 10 games vs Reds' 5-5 — STL running significantly hotter
Cardinals team ERA 4.01 vs Reds 4.48, and opponent OPS allowed 0.716 vs 0.743 — STL pitching staff is meaningfully better across the board