All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
San Francisco Giants
@
Boston Red Sox
Date
Fri, Aug 21
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Fenway Park
Spread
Red Sox ML
Odds
-170
Risk
MOD
PICK
Red Sox ML
-170 · 1 Unit
78%
The Edge
Sonny Gray's elite season (15-3, 2.65 ERA) atop a superior Boston pitching staff and a meaningful run differential edge at home make the Red Sox ML a clear moderate-favorite PICK at -170.
Key Factors
Sonny Gray holds a 0.85 ERA edge over Logan Webb (2.65 vs 3.50), and his 15-3 record reflects sustained dominance across a full season sample
Boston's team ERA (3.52) outperforms San Francisco's (4.34) by 0.82 runs, and their team WHIP (1.22 vs 1.36) signals a structurally better pitching staff top to bottom
Boston holds a +1.3 run differential edge (+0.7 vs -0.6) and a meaningful win percentage gap (.535 vs .409) — 16 games better in the standings
Fenway Park's 1.12 run factor with 8 mph wind blowing out to RF slightly favors the home offense, and Boston's team OPS (.728) edges San Francisco's (.710) in a park that inflates scoring