All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays
@
New York Yankees
Date
Sat, Aug 22
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-104
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-104 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
The Yankees' superior team quality, home environment, and bullpen depth provide a lean, but Cease's elite ERA and the Yankees' injury-depleted lineup prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
New York Yankees +1.0 run differential edge over Toronto and a superior 73-55 (.570) record vs Blue Jays' 63-67 (.485)
Yankees on a 5-game win streak at home and 7-3 ATS last 10, showing sustained momentum
Yankees team ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 1.17 vs Blue Jays' 3.96/1.30 — superior bullpen and pitching depth behind the starter
Yankee Stadium HR factor of 1.28 favors the Yankees' power-heavy lineup (176 HR, .715 OPS) with wind blowing out to RF at 8 mph