All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Mets
@
Chicago White Sox
Date
Sat, Aug 22
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Rate Field
Spread
White Sox ML
Odds
-106
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
White Sox ML
-106 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
A LEAN on the White Sox ML at -106 is justified by their elite home ATS profile and recent momentum, but the pitching gap keeps this well short of a PICK.
Key Factors
White Sox home ATS record is 39-24 (.619), the strongest split in the data, and they cover as home underdogs at a 66-32 (.673) clip
Chicago is on a 7-3 ATS run last 10 games versus New York's 3-7 ATS run last 10
White Sox won and covered yesterday's series opener 6-4, carrying momentum into game two
Guaranteed Rate Field carries a 1.06 run factor and 1.1 HR factor, slightly favoring the home offense (team OPS .727 vs NYM .694)