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MLB · Moneyline
Detroit Tigers
@
Kansas City Royals
Date
Sun, Aug 23
Time
6:10 PM
Venue
Kauffman Stadium
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-112
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-112 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Detroit's pitching edge and team quality metrics provide a directional lean on the moneyline at near-even odds (-112), but Kansas City's current momentum and Detroit's depleted lineup cap this at a lean rather than a strong pick.
Key Factors
Starting pitcher ERA edge: Waguespack 1.95 vs Lynch 2.83 — a 0.88 ERA gap favoring Detroit
Team ERA gap is substantial: Detroit 3.56 vs Kansas City 4.71, with Detroit also holding a better opponent OPS allowed (0.680 vs 0.767)
Detroit's overall run differential is +0.6 vs Kansas City's -0.7, a +1.3 team quality gap
Detroit as a road underdog ATS: 35-18 (.660), showing strong value when catching plus money or near-even lines