All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Atlanta Braves
Date
Tue, Aug 25
Time
11:15 PM
Venue
Truist Park
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-153
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-153 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Glasnow's ERA edge and Dodgers' offensive superiority provide a directional lean, but Glasnow's injury return risk, Atlanta's elite home underdog ATS record, and LAD's poor road favorite ATS history cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Pitching edge: Glasnow 2.72 ERA vs Elder 3.92 ERA — 1.20 ERA gap favoring LAD, the #1 MLB handicapping factor
Dodgers superior offense: team OPS .761 vs Braves .722, and 653 runs scored vs 614 for Atlanta
Dodgers on a W6 streak with +1.2 avg run margin vs Braves W1 streak and +0.8 avg margin
Dodgers opponent OPS allowed is .661 vs Braves .686, indicating LAD's pitching staff has been more dominant overall