All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Atlanta Braves
Date
Wed, Aug 26
Time
11:15 PM
Venue
Truist Park
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-124
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-124 · 1 Unit
65%
The Edge
The pitching edge and offensive superiority lean Dodgers, but Atlanta's strong home ATS record and LAD's poor road cover rate keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK at -124.
Key Factors
Sasaki's 4.42 ERA vs Smith-Shawver's 6.23 ERA — 1.81 gap clears the 1.5+ threshold flagged as a significant edge
Dodgers own superior team OPS (.761 vs .721) and team BA (.258 vs .247), giving them the stronger offensive unit
Dodgers team ERA (3.67) and opponent OPS allowed (.661) both outperform Atlanta's (3.60 ERA, .685 opp OPS) — slight bullpen/pitching staff edge
Dodgers are 80-52 (.606 win%) vs Braves 77-55 (.583), with a higher run differential (+1.2 vs +0.9) across the season