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MLB · Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Wed, Aug 26
Time
11:45 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Orioles ML
Odds
-104
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-104 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Baltimore gets a slight LEAN on the strength of offensive superiority, Cardinals' roster attrition, and St. Louis's 4-game skid, but near-even moneyline pricing and comparable pitching keep this firmly in LEAN territory.
Key Factors
Baltimore team OPS 0.716 vs St. Louis 0.698 — meaningful offensive gap favoring the Orioles
Cardinals on a 4-game losing streak (L4) including a 1-13 shellacking yesterday; Orioles on a W1 with momentum from that same blowout
St. Louis missing Masyn Winn (SS, 10-day IL) and Everson Pereira (RF, 10-day IL) — two lineup regulars out, thinning an already below-average offense (0.698 OPS)
Baltimore road ATS record as underdog is 45-27 (.625), showing strong value when not favored — though here they are a slight -104 favorite, the underdog ATS trend reflects a scrappy, resilient road unit