All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Thu, Aug 27
Time
6:15 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Orioles ML
Odds
-119
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-119 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Baltimore gets the LEAN on the strength of pitching clarity, superior recent form, and a slight offensive edge, but the Cardinals' strong home underdog ATS history and the unknown STL starter cap this at a lean rather than a firm pick.
Key Factors
Baltimore has a confirmed starter in Trevor Rogers (9-8, 4.14 ERA) while STL's pitcher is TBD — unknown arms carry meaningful risk and rotation uncertainty
Orioles have won 4 of last 5 games and are on a W2 streak; Cardinals have lost 5 straight including both games of this series (1-13 and 7-8)
Baltimore's team OPS (.718) outpaces St. Louis (.698) and the Orioles have scored more runs on the season (604 vs 593) with a significant HR advantage (163 vs 139)
Orioles ATS as road underdogs is a strong 45-27 (.625), and they are listed as a slight favorite at -119 — a near-even price with a demonstrable edge in form and pitching clarity