All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Fri, Aug 28
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-187
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-187 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Skubal gives the Dodgers a real pitching edge and the offensive numbers support them, but Detroit's strong home underdog ATS history and LAD's poor ATS record make this a LEAN rather than a PICK at -187 juice.
Key Factors
Pitching matchup favors LAD: Skubal 2.91 ERA vs Anderson 4.09 ERA — a 1.18-run gap that is the dominant signal in MLB handicapping
Dodgers superior offense: LAD team OPS .759 vs DET .717, and 661 runs scored vs 592 for Detroit
Dodgers better team ERA (3.67) and opponent OPS allowed (.663 vs DET's .681), indicating a stronger overall pitching staff
Dodgers road record 40-28 SU (.588) shows they travel well, and their overall .597 win% dwarfs Detroit's .466