All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Sat, Aug 29
Time
6:15 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
-119
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-119 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Leahy's stronger ERA, the Cardinals' elite home underdog ATS record, and Pittsburgh's recent offensive futility provide a modest lean toward St. Louis, but the Pirates' superior team offense and Cardinals' injury depth keep this from reaching PICK territory.
Key Factors
Pitcher ERA edge: Leahy 3.13 vs Bachar 3.70 — a 0.57 ERA gap favoring the Cardinals starter
Cardinals home ATS record is 38-32 (.543) vs Pirates road ATS of 33-37 (.471)
Cardinals are 61-37 (.622) ATS as home underdogs — a strong situational edge at -119
Cardinals on a W2 streak; Pirates on L2 streak and have been held to 1 run or fewer in 3 of last 5 games