All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Milwaukee Brewers
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Date
Wed, Sep 23
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
Citizens Bank Park
Spread
Brewers ML
Odds
-129
Risk
MOD
PICK
Brewers ML
-129 · 1 Unit
76%
✅ Winner
Milwaukee Brewers 4, Philadelphia Phillies 1
+77.52u
The Edge
Milwaukee's decisive starter and team-quality edges justify backing the Brewers at -129 despite the hitter-friendly park and Phillies' recent wins.
Key Factors
Henderson (10-3, 2.51 ERA) is nearly two full runs better than Nola (7-10, 4.49 ERA)
Brewers are 98-59 (.624) with +1.2 run differential vs Phillies 87-70 (.554) and +0.2
Milwaukee team ERA 3.55 and opponent OPS .664 are both clearly better than Philadelphia's 4.00 and .715
Phillies are only 33-43 ATS at home and 11-22 ATS as a home underdog