All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
St. Louis Cardinals
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Wed, Sep 23
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Pirates ML
Odds
-143
Risk
MOD
PICK
Pirates ML
-143 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
St. Louis Cardinals 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 1
-100.00u
The Edge
Pittsburgh's superior starter ERA, better team offense/pitching, and hot home form justify backing the moderate favorite despite the poor ATS-as-favorite risk.
Key Factors
Bachar has a 3.56 ERA compared to Liberatore's 5.36, a 1.80 ERA advantage for Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh owns a .736 team OPS and 750 runs vs St. Louis at .695 OPS and 704 runs.
Pittsburgh has a better team ERA (4.16 vs 4.28), WHIP (1.30 vs 1.35), and opp OPS (.699 vs .727).
Pittsburgh is W5 and 8-2 ATS last 10, while St. Louis is 1-4 in its last five and 38-38 on the road.