All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds
@
Atlanta Braves
Date
Wed, Sep 23
Time
11:15 PM
Venue
Truist Park
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
-278
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-278 · 1 Unit
73%
The Edge
Atlanta has the clear pitching and team-quality edge, but the heavy -278 moneyline makes this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Chris Sale owns a 2.18 ERA vs Andrew Abbott's 4.70, a 2.52 ERA advantage for Atlanta.
Atlanta's team ERA is 3.62 vs Cincinnati's 4.86, and Braves opponents OPS .690 vs Reds opponents OPS .771.
Braves are 51-28 at home while Reds are 35-41 on the road.
Atlanta has a +0.7 run differential vs Cincinnati's -1.0, a +1.7 team-quality edge.