All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays
@
New York Yankees
Date
Wed, Sep 23
Time
11:05 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
+114
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
+114 · 1 Unit
65%
The Edge
Lean Rays ML at +114 because their superior record, better BA/OPS, and Yankees' Judge absence offset Cole and the hitter-friendly park, though the pitching and home edges keep it from a PICK.
Key Factors
Rays own a superior record at 96-61 (.611) compared to Yankees 90-67 (.573)
Rays have better team BA (.258 vs .234) and OPS (.728 vs .718)
Rays are 25-14 (.641) ATS as underdogs, showing value in this role
Yankees are missing Aaron Judge (10-day IL), weakening their 217-HR power profile