All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Houston Astros
@
Seattle Mariners
Date
Thu, Sep 24
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Spread
Astros ML
Odds
+105
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Astros ML
+105 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Houston has enough offense, head-to-head and ATS edge to lean Astros ML at plus money, but pitcher uncertainty keeps it a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Houston leads the season series 9-3, including a 7-0 win at Seattle in the last game.
Houston offense is better across the board: .725 OPS vs .691, 695 runs vs 634, and 212 HR vs 179.
Seattle is only 28-48 (.368) ATS at home this season and 2-8 ATS in its last 10.
Houston is a +105 underdog while its starter Ethan Pecko has a 3.77 ERA in the data vs George Kirby's 4.24 ERA, though Pecko's sample is limited.