All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
San Diego Padres
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Date
Thu, Sep 24
Time
2:10 AM
Venue
Dodger Stadium
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-224
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-224 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Los Angeles has the clear pitching and team-quality edges, but the heavy -224 price and home ATS concerns make this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Yamamoto owns a 2.51 ERA vs Robbie Ray's 3.60, a meaningful starter advantage for Los Angeles.
Los Angeles has a +1.3 run differential and 3.59 team ERA, compared with San Diego's +0.2 differential and 3.96 team ERA.
The Dodgers are 51-28 at home and 97-60 overall, while the Padres are 38-41 on the road.
Los Angeles leads the season head-to-head series 8-3 and has won five straight games.