All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies
@
Atlanta Braves
Date
Tue, Sep 29
Time
6:00 PM
Venue
Truist Park
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
-193
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-193 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Atlanta's home strength, pitching metrics, and ATS edge provide a directional lean, but the -193 price and unknown pitchers make this a LEAN only — not enough edge to justify the juice.
Key Factors
Atlanta home record 52-29 (.642) vs Phillies road record 45-36 (.556)
Braves team ERA 3.63 vs Phillies 4.04; WHIP 1.24 vs 1.29
Braves ATS overall 83-79 (.512) vs Phillies 69-93 (.426) — 9% gap
Braves as home underdog ATS 30-15 (.667) — strong cover rate at home