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NHL · Moneyline
Montreal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
Date
Tue, Sep 29
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Scotiabank Arena
Spread
Canadiens ML
Odds
-105
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
-105 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Montreal gets a LEAN at near-even money (-105) given the goalie edge, superior road ATS record, and Toronto's home ATS struggles, but preseason context and H2H record cap this at a lean.
Key Factors
Jakub Dobes SV% .901 vs Bobrovsky .877 — .024 gap is meaningful at the crease
Montreal road ATS record 27-13 (.675) vs Toronto home ATS 17-24 (.415)
Montreal +0.87 goal differential edge and allows 0.54 fewer goals per game (3.06 vs 3.60)
Toronto missing Max Domi (OUT) and Nick Paul (DAY-TO-DAY) — multiple forward-line absences