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CFB · Spread
Fresno State Bulldogs
@
Washington State Cougars
Date
Sun, Oct 4
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Martin Stadium
Spread
Bulldogs +2.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Bulldogs +2.5
-110 · 1 Unit
65%
The Edge
Fresno State's efficiency advantages across passing, scoring margin, and turnover differential are too consistent to ignore against a 1-3 WSU team, making +2.5 a lean for the Bulldogs in a conference game where the underdog covers slightly more often.
Key Factors
Fresno State leads in yards per pass attempt 7.6 vs 6.0 — the strongest single predictor of true offensive quality
Scoring margin gap: Fresno State +9.3/g vs WSU -2.5/g, a +11.8 differential
Turnover differential: Fresno State +2, WSU -2 — a 4-turnover gap
WSU has allowed 10 sacks vs Fresno State's 6 allowed — pass protection edge for the visitor