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CFB · Spread
San José State Spartans
@
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Date
Sun, Oct 4
Time
3:59 AM
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Spread
Spartans +3
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Spartans +3
-110 · 1 Unit
63%
The Edge
Spartans are the statistically superior team by most key metrics and getting points at home against a 1-3 squad, making +3 a lean worth taking in a conference spot.
Key Factors
Passing efficiency gap: Spartans 7.1 yds/pass att vs Warriors 5.6 — the strongest single predictor in the data
Point differential edge: Spartans -16 total vs Hawai'i -32 total over same 4-game sample
Rush efficiency: Spartans 4.3 yds/carry vs Hawai'i 3.2 — dominates on the ground as well
Bye week: 14 days rest vs Hawai'i on normal schedule — documented small edge in preparation