All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Boston Red Sox
@
New York Yankees
Date
Thu, Oct 1
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-144
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-144 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Yankees lean at home with park and quality edges, but missing pitcher data and Judge's absence cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK at -144.
Key Factors
Yankees are 93-68 (.578) vs Red Sox 87-75 (.537) — clear season-long quality gap
Yankee Stadium HR factor of 1.28 with wind 8 mph out to RF favors the home offense
Yankees ATS 1-0 vs Red Sox ATS 0-1 in this exact series, with a +9.0 avg margin vs -9.0
Yankees home record 46-34 vs Red Sox road record 46-35 — marginal but consistent home edge