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NHL · Moneyline
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
Date
Wed, Sep 30
Time
11:30 PM
Venue
Scotiabank Arena
Spread
Islanders ML
Odds
+100
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Islanders ML
+100 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
LEAN Islanders ML — Sorokin's crease quality and NYI's road ATS edge provide a directional signal, but preseason context and NYI's poor recent form cap this at a lean.
Key Factors
Sorokin vs Stolarz: +0.013 SV% and -0.60 GAA advantage for NYI crease
Team SV% gap: NYI 90.2% (#12) vs TOR 87.5% (#30) — largest possible team goaltending gap
NYI road ATS record 24-17 (.585) vs TOR home ATS 17-24 (.415) — 17% spread
NYI +0.91 goal differential edge and +9% overall ATS win rate advantage