All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Los Angeles Kings
@
Colorado Avalanche
Date
Thu, Oct 1
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-192
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Avalanche ML
-192 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Colorado is the clearly superior team across every meaningful metric, but the -192 price tag caps this at a LEAN given NHL variance and LA's underdog ATS history.
Key Factors
Blackwood (0.904 SV%, 2.51 GAA, 23-10) outperforms Kuemper (0.891 SV%, 2.78 GAA, 19-14) by +0.013 SV%
Colorado allows 0.50 fewer goals per game (2.40 vs 2.90) and ranks #6 in team SV% (91.4%) vs LA's #16 (89.9%)
Colorado scores 3.63 goals/game vs LA's 2.68 — a 0.95 goal/game offensive edge
Colorado swept the season series 3-0, winning by scores of 4-2, 5-2, and 4-1