All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Tampa Bay Rays
Date
Sat, Oct 3
Time
10:30 PM
Venue
Tropicana Field
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-136 · 1 Unit
58%
The Edge
Lean Rays ML at home as the better overall team with a known starter, but TBD Yankees pitcher and NYY's recent offensive explosion cap confidence at a lean.
Key Factors
Rays home record 55-26 (.679 home win pct) is elite; home underdog ATS 27-17 (.614) adds value
Rays season ERA 3.70 vs Yankees TBD starter — Drew Rasmussen known quantity vs unknown NYY arm
Tropicana Field park factor 0.91 HR, 0.96 runs — pitcher-friendly dome favors the home team with the known starter
Rays 98-64 overall record outpaces Yankees 93-68 — better team on paper at home