All Picks
MLB · SpreadCancelled
Milwaukee Brewers
@
Boston Red Sox
Date
Wed, Apr 8
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
Fenway Park
Spread
Brewers -1.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Brewers -1.5
-110 · 1 Unit
78%
➖ Push
The Edge
The volume and consistency of Milwaukee's ATS dominance (9-2 overall, 8-2 last 10) combined with a meaningful team quality gap in run differential, ERA, and OPS makes the Brewers the clear side to back despite the pitching uncertainty.
Key Factors
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS (.818) overall vs Boston's 2-9 ATS (.182) — a 64% gap in ATS win rate
Brewers hold a +4.2 run differential edge on the season (+2.7 vs -1.5)
Team ERA gap is significant: Milwaukee 3.43 vs Boston 4.58, with WHIP 1.29 vs 1.40
Milwaukee team OPS is .782 vs Boston's .664, with 70 runs scored vs Boston's 39