All Picks
MLB · SpreadCancelled
Athletics
@
New York Yankees
Date
Wed, Apr 8
Time
11:05 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees -1.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Yankees -1.5
-110 · 1 Unit
78%
➖ Push
The Edge
The stacked pitching edge — both at the starter and team level — combined with the Yankees' elite ATS momentum and home-field advantage makes NYY -1.5 a credible cover in a matchup where nearly every quantifiable signal points the same direction.
Key Factors
Starter ERA delta of 3.78 (Warren 2.70 vs. Severino 6.48) far exceeds the 1.5+ threshold for a significant pitching edge
Yankees team ERA of 2.42 vs. Athletics team ERA of 5.52 — a 3.10-run gap reflecting a dominant pitching staff advantage
Yankees 8-2 ATS overall and 8-2 ATS last 10 — the hottest ATS team in the dataset, covering at an 80% clip
Yankees +4.1 run differential edge over Athletics, with NYY at +2.7 avg margin and ATH at -1.4 avg margin
Yankees 3-1 home ATS (.750) vs. Athletics 3-4 road ATS (.429), with NYY 8-2 ATS as a favorite