All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers
@
San Jose Sharks
Date
Thu, Apr 9
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
SAP Center at San Jose
Spread
Sharks ML
Odds
+105
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Sharks ML
+105 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
San Jose's dominant home and underdog ATS splits, plus-money price, and head-to-head home record offer enough value to lean the Sharks ML despite Edmonton's offensive edge.
Key Factors
Sharks are 26-13 ATS at home (.667) and 44-22 ATS as underdogs (.667) — two of the strongest splits in this dataset
Edmonton's team SV% ranks #29 at 88.1%, well below the league average, making their crease a liability behind Connor Ingram
San Jose holds a 2-1 series edge this season, winning the two home matchups (5-4 on Feb 28, 4-3 on Jan 30 in overtime context)
Sharks ML at +105 offers plus-money value on a home team with a .533 win rate — the price slightly undervalues their home advantage