All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Athletics
@
New York Yankees
Date
Thu, Apr 9
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-232
Risk
MOD
PICK
Yankees ML
-232 · 1 Unit
78%
The Edge
Despite a shaky starter in Weathers, the Yankees' elite team pitching infrastructure (2.47 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, .534 opp OPS), dominant home record, and superior run differential make them the clear side at home against a road-struggling Athletics squad.
Key Factors
Yankees team ERA of 2.47 vs Athletics 5.20 — a 2.73-run gap that is the single largest measurable edge in this matchup
Yankees opponent OPS of 0.534 vs Athletics opponent OPS of 0.794 — Yankees pitching staff is suppressing opposing offenses at an elite level
Yankees 8-3 ATS overall (.727) including a 7-3 ATS run last 10, the strongest recent ATS trend in this dataset
Yankees +2.4 avg run margin at home (8-3 SU) vs Athletics 2-6 on the road — home/road split strongly favors New York