All Picks
NHL · MoneylineActive
Calgary Flames
@
Colorado Avalanche
Date
Fri, Apr 10
Time
1:00 AM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-340
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Avalanche ML
-340 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Colorado's elite defensive structure, top-ranked goaltending, and massive home-ice advantage make them the clear side, but the -340 price and Makar's absence cap confidence to a LEAN rather than a strong PICK.
Key Factors
Colorado's team GAA of 2.48 vs Calgary's 3.17 — a 0.69 goals-per-game defensive edge, the single cleanest team quality signal in the data
Colorado's 91.0% team SV% ranks #1 in the league vs Calgary's 90.0% (#11) — meaningful crease quality gap backing Blackwood
Colorado's 51-16-10 overall record and 24-9-5 home record (.727 win%) dwarfs Calgary's 11-24-4 road mark (.462 road ATS)
Colorado outscores opponents by +1.2 avg margin at home vs Calgary's -0.6 avg margin on the road — a combined ~1.8 goal swing in Colorado's favor