All Picks
NBA · SpreadActive
Orlando Magic
@
Chicago Bulls
Date
Sat, Apr 11
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
United Center
Spread
Bulls +15.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Bulls +15.5
-110 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
A -15.5 line is simply too large for an Orlando team with a +0.4 point differential, and Chicago's elite underdog ATS record (.580) combined with the inflated spread makes the Bulls the value play.
Key Factors
Bulls ATS as underdog: 29-21 (.580) — one of the strongest underdog cover rates in the data
Orlando's season point differential is only +0.4, making a -15.5 spread a massive overask for a team that wins by less than half a point on average
Orlando is 17-21 (.447) ATS on the road this season — below average road ATS performance
Chicago's last 10 ATS is 6-4 and they've covered in back-to-back wins vs WSH, showing recent form; Orlando is only 5-5 ATS last 10