All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
New York Yankees
@
Tampa Bay Rays
Date
Fri, Apr 10
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Tropicana Field
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-131
Risk
MOD
PICK
Yankees ML
-131 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
The Yankees' elite team ERA (2.35), dominant opponent OPS suppression (.538), and superior road ATS record (5-1) provide three concrete edges that justify laying -131 against a Rays team with a 4.96 ERA and a -1.2 run differential.
Key Factors
Yankees team ERA of 2.35 vs Rays team ERA of 4.96 — a 2.61-run gap, the single largest measurable pitching edge in this dataset
Yankees opponent OPS of 0.538 vs Rays opponent OPS of 0.687 — Yankees pitching staff is suppressing opposing offenses at an elite level
Yankees road record 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS (.833) — dominant away performance this season
Yankees +3.3 run differential edge over Tampa Bay (NYY +2.1 vs TB -1.2) and a +25% ATS win rate advantage (NYY .667 vs TB .417)