All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Minnesota Twins
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Date
Sun, Apr 12
Time
5:37 PM
Venue
Rogers Centre
Spread
Twins ML
Odds
+104
Risk
MOD
PICK
Twins ML
+104 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Bradley's dominant early ERA, Minnesota's elite ATS form (7-3 L10), and plus-money value on a team with a clear statistical edge make Twins ML the sharp side of this number.
Key Factors
Taj Bradley 1.08 ERA vs Scherzer 3.38 ERA — a 2.30-run differential that clears the 1.5+ threshold for a significant starter edge
Twins are 7-3 ATS last 10 games vs Blue Jays 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 40-point ATS win rate gap
Twins overall ATS record 9-6 (.600) vs Blue Jays 4-10 (.286) — a +31% ATS win rate edge
Twins available at +104 moneyline (underdog) despite being the statistically superior team by run differential (+0.1 vs -1.4) and ATS metrics