All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Athletics
@
New York Mets
Date
Sun, Apr 12
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Athletics ML
Odds
+139
Risk
MOD
PICK
Athletics ML
+139 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Three or more concrete edges — pitching delta, ATS momentum gap, and road/home split advantage — all point to the Athletics ML at plus money (+139) as a real-value underdog play.
Key Factors
Pitching edge: Civale (2.70 ERA) vs Peralta (4.80 ERA) — a 2.10 ERA delta, well above the 1.5 threshold for a significant lean toward the Athletics' starter
Athletics 7-3 ATS last 10 vs Mets 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 40-point gap in recent ATS performance
Athletics 7-4 ATS on the road (.636) vs Mets 2-6 ATS at home (.250) — elite road/home split divergence
Mets injury load: Juan Soto (10-day IL), A.J. Minter (15-day IL), Mike Tauchman (OUT), Clay Holmes (DTD) — meaningful lineup and bullpen depth concerns