All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Sun, Apr 12
Time
6:20 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Pirates ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
PICK
Pirates ML
+113 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Pittsburgh's live underdog price at +113 combined with their dominant ATS form, superior overall record, and the Cubs' inability to cover at home makes Pirates ML the clear directional play.
Key Factors
Pirates are 8-2 ATS last 10 vs Cubs 3-7 ATS last 10 — a dominant recent trend
Pirates ML pays +113 (underdog value) despite holding a 9-5 overall record (.643 win%) vs Cubs 6-8 (.429)
Pirates road ATS record is 5-3 (.625) and 6-3 (.667) as road underdogs — exactly the role they fill here
Cubs are 3-5 at home SU and 3-5 ATS at home (.375), with a 0-1 ATS record as home favorites — no home-field edge materializing