All Picks
NBA · Spread
Chicago Bulls
@
Dallas Mavericks
Date
Mon, Apr 13
Time
12:30 AM
Venue
American Airlines Center
Spread
Bulls +6.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Bulls +6.5
-110 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Chicago's superior road underdog ATS record, better offensive efficiency, and Dallas's catastrophic injury situation make the Bulls a credible cover at +6.5 against a 25-56 home team.
Key Factors
Dallas missing 5 players including starting-caliber bigs Gafford and Lively, gutting their frontcourt depth against a Bulls team missing only 2 role players
Bulls are superior on both ends: 116.2 PPG (#11) vs Dallas 113.7 (#24), and Bulls allow 121.2 vs Dallas allowing 119.5 — Chicago is the better offensive team
Bulls ATS as road underdog: 29-22 (.569), a strong and meaningful sample that far exceeds Dallas's home ATS of 19-21 (.475)
Dallas on a 3-game losing streak, averaging a -12.3 point margin in last 3 games (lost by 19, 13, and 11), while Chicago's point differential (-5.0) is better than Dallas's (-5.8)