All Picks
NBA · Spread
New Orleans Pelicans
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
Date
Mon, Apr 13
Time
12:30 AM
Venue
Target Center
Spread
Pelicans +5.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pelicans +5.5
-110 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
With Minnesota's home ATS record well below .450 and both teams gutted by injuries, the Pelicans +5.5 offers enough value as a lean given the line likely overestimates a Wolves squad missing Edwards and Gobert.
Key Factors
Minnesota missing 9 players including Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert — their two most impactful players — effectively erasing the +7.8 point differential edge
Timberwolves are only 17-23 (.425) ATS at home this season, a clear fade signal below the .450 threshold
Pelicans hold a +10% ATS win rate advantage on the season (44-37, .543 vs 36-45, .444)
Head-to-head series is 2-1 with two of three games decided by 7 points or fewer, suggesting competitive matchups between these teams